Faba Bank: Some people think that Trump's policies (especially tariffs) will not cause inflation. However, market analysts have been misled and need to take Trump's tariff policy seriously.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.
India's NIFTY index metal plate fell by 1.3%.New Beiyang (Thailand) Company opened. According to the news of New Beiyang, on December 12th, the launching ceremony of New Beiyang (Thailand) Company was held in chonburi province, Thailand. This was the first factory established by New Beiyang overseas, which marked another major breakthrough in the company's internationalization strategy and laid a solid foundation for the company's future internationalization development. The park leased by New Beiyang (Thailand) Company covers an area of more than 5,500 square meters in the first phase. At present, the special printing and scanning product line built in the factory has been successfully put into production and is ready to start mass delivery. In the future, the company will continue to expand the production and delivery of some smart equipment products in Thai factories.South Korea's South Gyeonggi Police Department was detained and searched. The South Korean police responsible for investigating the martial law storm said on the 13th that it was detaining and searching the South Gyeonggi Police Department. According to Yonhap News Agency and other media reports, the special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Department sent investigators to the South Gyeonggi Police Department on the same day to detain and search the director's office and obtain computer and business information. The report said that after the martial law was announced on the evening of the 3rd, the southern police department of Gyeonggi deployed police to the building of the Central Election Management Committee in Guochuan City, Gyeonggi Province and the election training institute in Suwon City, Gyeonggi Province.
The net purchase of southbound funds reached 5 billion yuan.Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.The 2024 Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Promotion Conference was held. On December 12th, the 2024 Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Promotion Conference was held in Shenyang. More than 150 government and enterprise guests from more than 20 countries including South Korea, Germany and France and Hong Kong and Macao attended the conference, and conducted in-depth exchanges on topics such as ice and snow tourism, ice and snow sports and ice and snow equipment manufacturing. This promotion meeting is an important sub-activity of "Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation and Negotiation Activities". It is understood that the "Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Negotiation Activity" will last for three days, during which activities such as Liaoning Ice and Snow Economic Theme Exhibition, Liaoning-Europe and America Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Exchange Conference and Liaoning Ice and Snow Economic Industry Tour will be held, aiming at deepening the exchanges and cooperation between Liaoning Province and the world in the field of ice and snow economy, jointly exploring new opportunities for the development of global ice and snow industry and building a brand of winter economic and trade cooperation in Liaoning Province. (Liaoning Daily)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14